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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

BURTON ALBION vs. EXETER CITY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Burton Albion vs. Exeter City.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Burton Albion
(ELO score: 3533)		 Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Exeter City
(ELO score: 3642)
TOTAL 1 1 1
Home 1 1 0
Away 0 0 1

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
20 APR 1974 LGE Shrewsbury Town  
(3533)  		 0 - 0   Walsall
  (3642)		 0.2
19 MAR 1938 LGE Crystal Palace  
(3642)  		 1 - 0   Leyton Orient
  (3533)		 4
24 SEP 1932 LGE Walsall  
(3533)  		 3 - 2   Tranmere Rovers
  (3642)		 9.4

 

A historical comparison of Burton Albion's and Exeter City's ELO scores.


  Burton Albion   Exeter City  
  Current ELO Score: 3532.8   3642  
  Best ELO Score: 3771.4  
Saturday, April 29, 2017  		 3777.5  
Saturday, January 28, 1933  
  Worst ELO Score: 3286.7  
Saturday, December 18, 2004  		 3318.8  
Saturday, August 12, 1995  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Burton Albion and Exeter City.

 Venue Played Burton Albion
wins		 Draws Exeter City
wins		 Burton Albion
goals		 Exeter City
goals		 Burton Albion
SR%		 Exeter City
SR%
 TOTAL 20 10 3 7 29 27 57.5% 42.5%
 HOME 10 6 2 2 18 12 70.0% 30.0%
 AWAY 10 4 1 5 11 15 45.0% 55.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
16 MAR 2024 LGE Exeter City  
(3599)  		 1 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3570)		 8.1
2 SEP 2023 LGE Burton Albion  
(3595)  		 0 - 1   Exeter City
  (3665)		 9
11 FEB 2023 LGE Burton Albion  
(3565)  		 1 - 0   Exeter City
  (3637)		 11
17 SEP 2022 LGE Exeter City  
(3641)  		 0 - 2   Burton Albion
  (3511)		 21.7
6 DEC 2014 LGE Exeter City  
(3527)  		 1 - 1   Burton Albion
  (3561)		 0.2
19 AUG 2014 LGE Burton Albion  
(3572)  		 1 - 0   Exeter City
  (3469)		 6.1
1 FEB 2014 LGE Burton Albion  
(3566)  		 1 - 1   Exeter City
  (3466)		 3.8
26 OCT 2013 LGE Exeter City  
(3535)  		 0 - 1   Burton Albion
  (3565)		 10.3
23 FEB 2013 LGE Burton Albion  
(3535)  		 4 - 2   Exeter City
  (3564)		 14.4
1 SEP 2012 LGE Exeter City  
(3552)  		 3 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3419)		 9.3
26 APR 2008 CONF Burton Albion  
(3422)  		 4 - 4   Exeter City
  (3471)		 0
17 NOV 2007 CONF Exeter City  
(3447)  		 1 - 4   Burton Albion
  (3444)		 20.1
24 FEB 2007 CONF Exeter City  
(3447)  		 3 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3393)		 12.3
27 NOV 2006 CONF Burton Albion  
(3406)  		 1 - 0   Exeter City
  (3436)		 9.3
10 FEB 2006 CONF Burton Albion  
(3383)  		 2 - 0   Exeter City
  (3494)		 17.3
24 SEP 2005 CONF Exeter City  
(3542)  		 1 - 2   Burton Albion
  (3301)		 16.9
15 MAR 2005 CONF Exeter City  
(3485)  		 3 - 1   Burton Albion
  (3354)		 7.5
27 NOV 2004 CONF Burton Albion  
(3309)  		 1 - 0   Exeter City
  (3465)		 12.7
21 FEB 2004 CONF Exeter City  
(3449)  		 2 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3399)		 10.5
3 OCT 2003 CONF Burton Albion  
(3361)  		 3 - 4   Exeter City
  (3438)		 9.5